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2024-12-13 05:50:09

In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)The 10-year yield of US debt rose by 1.01% to 4.191.China's first oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold by Meituan, and the oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold in Meituan at 21: 00 on December 9th. At the same time, Telpotide, which is recognized by the industry as the "strongest rival" of Smegliptide, opened the first appointment in the US Mission. Users in some areas can make an appointment to go to the same city clinic for weight management. It is reported that the scheduled drug delivery service will be opened within one week. This is also the first appointment for the US Mission to win two star medicines again after Nuoheying (Simei Reduced Edition). According to the data of Meituan, the instantaneous search volume of Simei related products doubled from yesterday.


Many houses were blown, and now it is up by 114.46%.China index rose by more than 10%, Fangduoduo rose by about 120%, YINN rose by more than 25%, Nasdaq Jinlong China index rose by more than 10%, and China stock index rose by more than 119%. YINN, Tiger Securities, Baozun KWEB-commerce, Xinyuan Real Estate, Futu Holdings, Financial Yitong and Dada rose by more than 20%, and bilibili, Land Control, Shell and Weilai.Societe Generale predicts that the S&P 500 will reach 6750 by the end of 2025.


The net inflow of 14 extra-large single shares exceeded 200 million yuan. According to data treasure, today, the net inflow of 14 extra-large single shares exceeded 200 million yuan, and the net inflow of Keli Sensing extra-large single shares was 669 million yuan, ranking first in the scale of net inflow funds; The net inflow of Sanfeng Smart Extra Large Orders was 626 million yuan, ranking second; The top net inflows are Fenda Technology, Vanadium and Titanium, and China Unicom. Among the extra-large single net outflow stocks, yongtai energy's extra-large single net outflow funds were 1.963 billion yuan, with the largest net outflow funds; The net outflow funds of Zhonggong Education and Oriental Fortune were 1.638 billion yuan and 1.470 billion yuan respectively, and the net outflow funds ranked second and third.Interpretation of Guangfa Strategy December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this may well mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. Specific to economic work, the first priority is to "expand domestic demand", and the expression of "stabilize the property market and stock market" is more straightforward: the importance of expanding domestic demand is unquestionable, which alleviates the concern of "whether to only resolve risks and lack demand stimulation" in the early stage of the market; In September, the Politburo meeting stated that the stock market should strive to boost the capital market and the property market should "promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". This meeting was more direct in its determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market.China's first oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold by Meituan, and the oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold in Meituan at 21: 00 on December 9th. At the same time, Telpotide, which is recognized by the industry as the "strongest rival" of Smegliptide, opened the first appointment in the US Mission. Users in some areas can make an appointment to go to the same city clinic for weight management. It is reported that the scheduled drug delivery service will be opened within one week. This is also the first appointment for the US Mission to win two star medicines again after Nuoheying (Simei Reduced Edition). According to the data of Meituan, the instantaneous search volume of Simei related products doubled from yesterday.

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